Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.022894 0.024599 0.026374 0.028363 0.030533 0.032829 0.035448
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.019899 0.022328 0.024991 0.028136 0.031760 0.035818 0.040726
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.018062 0.020934 0.024206 0.028229 0.033066 0.038729 0.045907
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.016457 0.019567 0.023219 0.027856 0.033629 0.040636 0.049873
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.015088 0.018323 0.022221 0.027304 0.033822 0.041985 0.053116
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.014083 0.017426 0.021544 0.027047 0.034293 0.043627 0.056758
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.013216 0.016628 0.020916 0.026771 0.034667 0.045106 0.060219
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.012334 0.015745 0.020109 0.026183 0.034552 0.045874 0.062697
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.011879 0.015387 0.019954 0.026436 0.035563 0.048207 0.067503
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.011363 0.014913 0.019609 0.026393 0.036135 0.049928 0.071507
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.011021 0.014652 0.019531 0.026701 0.037205 0.052403 0.076782
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.010522 0.014145 0.019081 0.026447 0.037425 0.053620 0.080185
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.010101 0.013732 0.018747 0.026348 0.037876 0.055221 0.084329
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.009632 0.013229 0.018260 0.025992 0.037912 0.056178 0.087495
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.009320 0.012935 0.018057 0.026045 0.038568 0.058127 0.092423
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.008917 0.012490 0.017610 0.025699 0.038572 0.059021 0.095610
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.008499 0.012004 0.017081 0.025196 0.038290 0.059421 0.097948
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.008180 0.011654 0.016737 0.024962 0.038422 0.060500 0.101549
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.007878 0.011314 0.016395 0.024711 0.038506 0.061493 0.105048
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.007523 0.010882 0.015892 0.024176 0.038086 0.061587 0.106876
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.007375 0.010760 0.015863 0.024407 0.038962 0.063977 0.113197
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.007172 0.010544 0.015677 0.024367 0.039369 0.065553 0.118062
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.007052 0.010454 0.015685 0.024648 0.040343 0.068199 0.125230